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Iran’s reluctance to negotiate directly with the United States, and movements of European officials between hotels in Vienna where the US and Iranian delegation stay, is a prelude to a changing situation in Iran and the Middle East. Although it is too early to determine the detailed outcomes of this change, the general direction is almost clear. According to Reuters, an EU official who coordinates the talks said the agreement should be achieved in the next two months. On one hand, the Iranian regime needs the lifting of sanctions amidst a deadly economic situation and its society is ready to erupt. However, the regime fears negotiations since currently it is in a weak position and must make many concessions, which will cause its fragile situation to reach a critical point.
President Biden is at the crossroads of the legacies of former presidents Barack Obama and Donald Trump, and taking a completely different approach. He is under pressure from a wave of opposition from both parties to give concessions to the Iranian regime. The mullah’s lobbyists want concessions under the pretext of preventing Iranian access to the atomic bomb. Rep. Joe Wilson, R, S.C., chairman of the RSC National Security and Foreign Affairs Task Force said in a statement provided to Fox News. ” The Iranian regime never stopped chanting Death to America, and they mean it. This is a regime which has killed over 500 U.S. service members in Iraq through its support of terrorist militias and use of IEDs.”
Experts emphasize the return of the United States to the negotiating table, concurrent with concessions to the Iranian regime, will not help the Iranian people at all, and also emboldens the regime and puts Middle East peace in danger. The US soft gesture towards Iran comes at a moment when the miserable state of the people of Iran from mismanagement of the coronavirus pandemic is on full display,. In addition, secrecy about the missile attack on a Ukrainian plane killing 176 innocent passengers, and the November uprising of 2019 with 1,500 were killed weigh heavy on society. Government corruption and poverty, unemployment and the devastated economy have created a huge distrust between the people and the government. Khamenei and Rouhani cannot fill this huge gap and the Iranian regime has no legitimacy among the people.
Under such circumstances, on Easter Sunday, two rockets were fired at an Iraqi base housing American troops. This is the fourteenth attack by Iranian-backed terrorists on US facilities since President Biden took office three months ago. This shows Tehran has no desire to end its terrorist activities. However, a US government spokesman still called the talks “a healthy step forward”!
Now the question is — who should take the first step of reconciliation? The Iranian regime has shown that it has no intention for the language of compromise and wants to advance its line through blackmail.
The 2015 JCPOA allowed Iran to continue its nuclear ambitions and activate warfare and export of terrorism to survive, which led to a humanitarian catastrophe in Yemen and attacks on the world’s largest refinery, Aramco, and caused much misery in Lebanon and continued terrorist attacks in Iraq. Now, Tehran steps it up a notch and puts pressure on Biden. Behrouz Kamalvandi, the Atomic Energy Organization spokesman, on Wednesday April 7, 2021 said; “An important part of the parliament’s Strategic Action Plan for Lifting Sanctions on 20% enrichment was the rate of 120 kilograms per year. And to date, 55 kilograms of 20% enriched uranium has been produced, and we are almost halfway there, and at this rate we can reach the target in less than eight months.”
To end this, we must learn lessons from history and past events should be our beacon. We must remember the path of diplomacy with Hitler in World War II. The tragedy of 60 million killed by Hitler in the 20th century started by giving a concession. This concession changed the course of history! Now we must stop this from happening again.